
VAR Estimation Results:
========================= 
Endogenous variables: Media_SMD, Party_FDP_TW, Party_GLP_TW, Party_Grüne_TW, Party_SP_TW, Party_SVP_TW, Party_CVP_TW 
Deterministic variables: const 
Sample size: 167 
Log Likelihood: -2321.319 
Roots of the characteristic polynomial:
0.3719 0.3392 0.3392 0.2429 0.1546 0.06452 0.06452
Call:
VAR(y = X_endogenous, p = p_best)


Estimation results for equation Media_SMD: 
========================================== 
Media_SMD = Media_SMD.l1 + Party_FDP_TW.l1 + Party_GLP_TW.l1 + Party_Grüne_TW.l1 + Party_SP_TW.l1 + Party_SVP_TW.l1 + Party_CVP_TW.l1 + const 

                   Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
Media_SMD.l1       0.000304   0.089110   0.003    0.997    
Party_FDP_TW.l1    0.015513   0.034770   0.446    0.656    
Party_GLP_TW.l1    0.043100   0.033163   1.300    0.196    
Party_Grüne_TW.l1 -0.022007   0.038440  -0.572    0.568    
Party_SP_TW.l1    -0.057739   0.039259  -1.471    0.143    
Party_SVP_TW.l1    0.036414   0.035668   1.021    0.309    
Party_CVP_TW.l1   -0.170807   0.037256  -4.585 9.16e-06 ***
const             -3.878068   0.290460 -13.351  < 2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1


Residual standard error: 0.9307 on 159 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-Squared: 0.154,	Adjusted R-squared: 0.1168 
F-statistic: 4.135 on 7 and 159 DF,  p-value: 0.0003333 


Estimation results for equation Party_FDP_TW: 
============================================= 
Party_FDP_TW = Media_SMD.l1 + Party_FDP_TW.l1 + Party_GLP_TW.l1 + Party_Grüne_TW.l1 + Party_SP_TW.l1 + Party_SVP_TW.l1 + Party_CVP_TW.l1 + const 

                   Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
Media_SMD.l1       0.403367   0.219517   1.838 0.067999 .  
Party_FDP_TW.l1   -0.097119   0.085654  -1.134 0.258566    
Party_GLP_TW.l1    0.006858   0.081695   0.084 0.933203    
Party_Grüne_TW.l1 -0.032601   0.094694  -0.344 0.731092    
Party_SP_TW.l1     0.018327   0.096711   0.190 0.849939    
Party_SVP_TW.l1    0.058556   0.087865   0.666 0.506103    
Party_CVP_TW.l1   -0.224635   0.091779  -2.448 0.015471 *  
const             -2.692747   0.715531  -3.763 0.000235 ***
---
Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1


Residual standard error: 2.293 on 159 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-Squared: 0.07596,	Adjusted R-squared: 0.03528 
F-statistic: 1.867 on 7 and 159 DF,  p-value: 0.07827 


Estimation results for equation Party_GLP_TW: 
============================================= 
Party_GLP_TW = Media_SMD.l1 + Party_FDP_TW.l1 + Party_GLP_TW.l1 + Party_Grüne_TW.l1 + Party_SP_TW.l1 + Party_SVP_TW.l1 + Party_CVP_TW.l1 + const 

                  Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)   
Media_SMD.l1       0.43696    0.25080   1.742  0.08339 . 
Party_FDP_TW.l1   -0.12173    0.09786  -1.244  0.21534   
Party_GLP_TW.l1   -0.28408    0.09334  -3.044  0.00274 **
Party_Grüne_TW.l1  0.01344    0.10819   0.124  0.90127   
Party_SP_TW.l1    -0.12658    0.11049  -1.146  0.25369   
Party_SVP_TW.l1    0.04911    0.10039   0.489  0.62539   
Party_CVP_TW.l1   -0.13353    0.10486  -1.273  0.20471   
const             -2.64115    0.81749  -3.231  0.00150 **
---
Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1


Residual standard error: 2.619 on 159 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-Squared: 0.1313,	Adjusted R-squared: 0.09307 
F-statistic: 3.433 on 7 and 159 DF,  p-value: 0.0019 


Estimation results for equation Party_Grüne_TW: 
=============================================== 
Party_Grüne_TW = Media_SMD.l1 + Party_FDP_TW.l1 + Party_GLP_TW.l1 + Party_Grüne_TW.l1 + Party_SP_TW.l1 + Party_SVP_TW.l1 + Party_CVP_TW.l1 + const 

                  Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)   
Media_SMD.l1       0.53788    0.21890   2.457  0.01508 * 
Party_FDP_TW.l1   -0.02892    0.08542  -0.339  0.73536   
Party_GLP_TW.l1   -0.16473    0.08147  -2.022  0.04485 * 
Party_Grüne_TW.l1 -0.18491    0.09443  -1.958  0.05196 . 
Party_SP_TW.l1    -0.04928    0.09644  -0.511  0.61006   
Party_SVP_TW.l1    0.10385    0.08762   1.185  0.23771   
Party_CVP_TW.l1   -0.11232    0.09152  -1.227  0.22154   
const             -1.88849    0.71354  -2.647  0.00895 **
---
Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1


Residual standard error: 2.286 on 159 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-Squared: 0.1266,	Adjusted R-squared: 0.08813 
F-statistic: 3.292 on 7 and 159 DF,  p-value: 0.002693 


Estimation results for equation Party_SP_TW: 
============================================ 
Party_SP_TW = Media_SMD.l1 + Party_FDP_TW.l1 + Party_GLP_TW.l1 + Party_Grüne_TW.l1 + Party_SP_TW.l1 + Party_SVP_TW.l1 + Party_CVP_TW.l1 + const 

                  Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
Media_SMD.l1       0.07190    0.18730   0.384   0.7016    
Party_FDP_TW.l1    0.17600    0.07308   2.408   0.0172 *  
Party_GLP_TW.l1   -0.02722    0.06971  -0.391   0.6967    
Party_Grüne_TW.l1 -0.08756    0.08080  -1.084   0.2801    
Party_SP_TW.l1    -0.07118    0.08252  -0.863   0.3896    
Party_SVP_TW.l1    0.08352    0.07497   1.114   0.2670    
Party_CVP_TW.l1   -0.05769    0.07831  -0.737   0.4624    
const             -2.70153    0.61052  -4.425 1.78e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1


Residual standard error: 1.956 on 159 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-Squared: 0.06354,	Adjusted R-squared: 0.02231 
F-statistic: 1.541 on 7 and 159 DF,  p-value: 0.157 


Estimation results for equation Party_SVP_TW: 
============================================= 
Party_SVP_TW = Media_SMD.l1 + Party_FDP_TW.l1 + Party_GLP_TW.l1 + Party_Grüne_TW.l1 + Party_SP_TW.l1 + Party_SVP_TW.l1 + Party_CVP_TW.l1 + const 

                  Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
Media_SMD.l1       0.24543    0.20695   1.186 0.237416    
Party_FDP_TW.l1   -0.08589    0.08075  -1.064 0.289094    
Party_GLP_TW.l1    0.02274    0.07702   0.295 0.768158    
Party_Grüne_TW.l1  0.21642    0.08927   2.424 0.016459 *  
Party_SP_TW.l1    -0.06344    0.09117  -0.696 0.487569    
Party_SVP_TW.l1   -0.08595    0.08283  -1.038 0.301042    
Party_CVP_TW.l1   -0.18031    0.08652  -2.084 0.038763 *  
const             -2.52872    0.67457  -3.749 0.000248 ***
---
Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1


Residual standard error: 2.161 on 159 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-Squared: 0.1077,	Adjusted R-squared: 0.0684 
F-statistic: 2.741 on 7 and 159 DF,  p-value: 0.01031 


Estimation results for equation Party_CVP_TW: 
============================================= 
Party_CVP_TW = Media_SMD.l1 + Party_FDP_TW.l1 + Party_GLP_TW.l1 + Party_Grüne_TW.l1 + Party_SP_TW.l1 + Party_SVP_TW.l1 + Party_CVP_TW.l1 + const 

                  Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
Media_SMD.l1       0.80494    0.20134   3.998 9.76e-05 ***
Party_FDP_TW.l1   -0.04753    0.07856  -0.605   0.5460    
Party_GLP_TW.l1   -0.09700    0.07493  -1.294   0.1974    
Party_Grüne_TW.l1  0.09105    0.08685   1.048   0.2961    
Party_SP_TW.l1     0.13650    0.08870   1.539   0.1258    
Party_SVP_TW.l1    0.04916    0.08059   0.610   0.5427    
Party_CVP_TW.l1   -0.26871    0.08418  -3.192   0.0017 ** 
const             -0.61229    0.65628  -0.933   0.3522    
---
Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1


Residual standard error: 2.103 on 159 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-Squared: 0.1754,	Adjusted R-squared: 0.1391 
F-statistic: 4.831 on 7 and 159 DF,  p-value: 5.882e-05 



Covariance matrix of residuals:
               Media_SMD Party_FDP_TW Party_GLP_TW Party_Grüne_TW Party_SP_TW Party_SVP_TW Party_CVP_TW
Media_SMD         0.8661       0.5079        1.157         0.9327      0.1444       0.4971       0.2792
Party_FDP_TW      0.5079       5.2561        1.182         1.0169      1.2803       1.1734       1.1372
Party_GLP_TW      1.1575       1.1824        6.861         2.7186      1.2364       1.0887       1.8879
Party_Grüne_TW    0.9327       1.0169        2.719         5.2268      0.4952       0.2247       1.7504
Party_SP_TW       0.1444       1.2803        1.236         0.4952      3.8266       0.9195       0.8289
Party_SVP_TW      0.4971       1.1734        1.089         0.2247      0.9195       4.6715       0.9809
Party_CVP_TW      0.2792       1.1372        1.888         1.7504      0.8289       0.9809       4.4217

Correlation matrix of residuals:
               Media_SMD Party_FDP_TW Party_GLP_TW Party_Grüne_TW Party_SP_TW Party_SVP_TW Party_CVP_TW
Media_SMD        1.00000       0.2381       0.4748        0.43835     0.07932      0.24713       0.1427
Party_FDP_TW     0.23806       1.0000       0.1969        0.19402     0.28547      0.23681       0.2359
Party_GLP_TW     0.47482       0.1969       1.0000        0.45399     0.24130      0.19231       0.3428
Party_Grüne_TW   0.43835       0.1940       0.4540        1.00000     0.11073      0.04547       0.3641
Party_SP_TW      0.07932       0.2855       0.2413        0.11073     1.00000      0.21748       0.2015
Party_SVP_TW     0.24713       0.2368       0.1923        0.04547     0.21748      1.00000       0.2158
Party_CVP_TW     0.14268       0.2359       0.3428        0.36410     0.20152      0.21583       1.0000


